From the Politico.com:

But a major wild card looms for minority groups in both New York and California, as well as in several other states with unpredictable partisan dynamics. That is redistricting, a fierce and often unpredictable political showdown, which can be fatal for some local politicians but can assure a decade of challenge-free incumbency for others. Starting early next year, most states will be required to redraw their political boundaries based on the results of this year’s census.

“There are no givens. Anything can happen” in redistricting, said former Rep. Tom Reynolds (R-N.Y.), who played a major role in his home state’s 2002 redistricting and now chairs REDMAP, the Republican State Leadership Committee’s Redistricting Majority Project.

REDMAP hopes to spend $20 million this fall in state legislative races to try to secure GOP majorities in battleground states — which would allow Republicans to draw congressional districts and could affect seats in states such as Ohio, Pennsylvania and Texas depending partly on the outcome of this year’s congressional elections. The New York Senate, which Democrats now control 32 to 30, is a prime Reynolds target — with several seats in play that are currently held by each party.

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