From Louis Jacobson at Governing Magazine:

The battle to control state attorney general offices is continuing to shift in the Republican direction, but the movement since Governing’s last rating in October has been modest.

This represents our third effort this year to handicap the 30 states that have attorney general elections this fall. With this analysis, most of the races stay as is, but two contests shift one notch toward the Republican candidate.

Currently, the Democrats hold a 32-to-18 edge in AG offices. Of these 50 positions, 43 are popularly elected, with the remaining seven appointed by a governor, the Legislature or the state Supreme Court.

Of the 43 elected seats, the Democrats currently control 27 to the Republicans’ 16. And of those 43, a total of 30 are being contested this fall, of which the Democrats currently hold 19.

The broad picture doesn’t change much from our last analysis. Based on interviews with dozens of partisan and nonpartisan sources, the Democrats are poised to lose between six and 13 attorney general posts on Election Day. If they suffer a net loss of just six seats, the Democrats would hold on to their now-solid majority, though by just a single seat. But if the Democrats were to lose a net 13 seats, they’d see the GOP take the lead by roughly the same 3-to-2 margin they currently enjoy.

The two states moving toward the GOP in this analysis are Kansas, which shifts from tossup to lean Republican, and New York, which shifts from lean Democratic to tossup.

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